Name Change, Bot Challenge Results, Texas Primary Edge & Masters Arbitrage
The big reveal: the podcast is now World at Odds. Matt lost the $100 bot challenge (and owes Andrew a hundred bucks), while Andrew's bot sold a position at 1 cent. They break down a live edge trade on the Texas primary runoffs, explore field betting arbitrage strategy for the Masters, and debate whether AI trading bots can actually beat Polymarket. Plus: a Trump Jr. long shot bet at under 2 cents.
Iran Strikes, Polymarket Insider Trading & the $100 Bot Challenge
Matt and Andrew dig into the Iran strike markets on Polymarket — how to trade breaking news, the latency advantage, and whether selling into a confirmed headline is smart or insane. They unpack the insider trading debate, Andrew introduces OpenClaw, and they set up the $100 bot challenge. Also: the aliens market, ceasefire odds, and regime change in Iran.
Super Bowl Scoring, Betting for Beginners & the Aliens Debate
Matt brings in Tim Williams — an architect from Omaha with zero gambling experience — for a crash course in betting fundamentals. Matt walks through his Super Bowl bet that netted 120 units of profit, explaining emotional hedging, money lines vs. spreads, and when to cash out. They cover midterms, Nebraska governor, Oscars, and the aliens question.
Greenland, 2028 Election Nominees, Super Bowl Odds & Mark Kelly
The one that started it all. Matt and Andrew lay out what the show is about: looking at the world through probability and putting real money where their mouths are. Greenland acquisition odds, 2028 presidential nominees, Super Bowl betting strategy, and the case for Mark Kelly as an undervalued 2028 contender. First bets are placed.