TX SENATE PRIMARY Cornyn 85¢ Cruz 34¢ Crockett 16¢ NET P&L +$2,919 $7,500 across 3 legs Entry at 16¢ · Exit up to 90¢
Prediction Markets

How I Made $2,900 Betting the Texas Senate Primary on Polymarket

Runoff mechanics, turnout drops, and information asymmetry — a step-by-step breakdown of $7,500 in real Polymarket trades across 3 legs of the Texas Republican Senate primary.

March 2026 · 12 min read · From Episode 04
102.2%
Sports Betting

How to Bet on the 2026 World Cup: A Field Betting Arbitrage Strategy

The entire World Cup field on Polymarket adds up to 102.2% overround. Buy favorites for 75¢ on the dollar — here's the full strategy.

April 2026 · 10 min read · From Episode 07
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Prediction Markets

Weather Betting on Polymarket: How to Find Edge with Local Data

Daily resolution, almost no competition, and a hairdryer scandal. Weather markets are prediction markets' best-kept secret.

April 2026 · 9 min read · From Episode 07
📊 40%+ ROI
Prediction Markets

The Democrat Nomination Arbitrage: How to Guarantee Profit on Polymarket

Buy every serious candidate for under $1 total. One of them has to win. The math says 40%+ ROI — here's the full strategy.

April 2026 · 8 min read · From Episode 06
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Trade Breakdown

How I Profited $70 on a Losing Bet — Arizona March Madness Breakdown

Arizona lost March Madness. I still made money. Here's how trading out of a prediction market position turned a wipeout into a win.

April 2026 · 7 min read · From Episode 06
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Legal Guide

Is Polymarket Legal in the US? Everything You Need to Know

Polymarket is federally legal after CFTC approval in 2025. But state challenges remain. Full timeline, state-by-state status, and how to access it.

March 2026 · 14 min read · Legal Guide
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Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets Explained: The Complete Beginner's Guide

What are prediction markets? How do they work? Where do you trade? A plain-English guide with real examples, platform comparisons, and strategies.

March 2026 · 16 min read · Beginner's Guide
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Sports Betting

What Is a Parlay? The Complete Guide to Parlay Betting

How parlays work, how to calculate odds, payout charts from 2-10 legs, same game parlays, and the strategy sharps actually use.

March 2026 · 13 min read · Betting Guide
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Prediction Markets

How to Read Polymarket Prices If You Only Know Sportsbook Odds

Prediction markets price everything in cents. Sportsbooks use moneylines. Here's how to translate between them — and why it matters for finding value.

March 2026 · 6 min read · Beginner's Guide
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AI & Bots

We Gave an AI Bot $100 to Trade Polymarket. Here's What Happened.

It was supposed to scalp pennies on 50/50 markets. Instead it bet on a grocery store and sold at 1¢ per share.

March 2026 · 5 min read · From Episodes 03 & 04
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Sports Betting

The Emotional Hedge: How to Win Even When You Lose

Bet on the team you think will win, root for the one you love. Either way, you walk away happy.

March 2026 · 4 min read · From Episode 02
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Just Launched

Free Betting Calculators — Odds, No-Vig, Hedge & EV

Four free tools we built for ourselves and now you can use them too. Convert odds, strip the vig, hedge your bets, and find +EV plays.

March 2026 · 6 min read · Tools